Japan's Auction Market, Published Monthly and Free — The USS Data Nobody Outside Japan Reads
When you ask an exporter what a car should cost, you get their price. What you don’t get is the wholesale market they bought it in. That asymmetry is the business model, and it is why no exporter will ever publish it for you.
But Japan’s largest auction operator publishes it themselves, every month, for free — because they have to.
USS Co., Ltd. is listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market (ticker 4732). Listed companies file monthly operating disclosures for investors. Those disclosures happen to contain the three numbers that describe the Japanese used car auction market: how many cars were offered, what percentage sold, and the average hammer price.
Roughly 30% of the Japanese auction industry passes through USS. It is the closest thing to a market index that exists, it is in Japanese, and we have found no English-language coverage that uses it.
1. Where it is, and when
Monthly data: ussnet.co.jp/ir/library/monthly/
Published as 月次データ / オークションデータ速報 (“preliminary auction data”) around the 5th or 6th of each month, covering the previous month. Observed release dates: December 2025 data on 6 January 2026; January on 5 February; February on 5 March; March on 6 April.
Alongside it, USS releases 中古車オークション業界データ(速報) — preliminary industry-wide data, not just their own — on the same day.
At each quarter end they also publish USSグループ中古車オークション実績(速報), group auction results. Note that USS’s fiscal year runs 1 April to 31 March, so “FY2027/3” means April 2026 through March 2027.
Two publisher’s notes worth carrying over, because they affect how you read the numbers: figures are truncated below the displayed unit, and percentages are rounded to two decimal places.
2. The three numbers
| Japanese | What it is | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|
| 出品台数 | Lots offered | Supply entering the market |
| 成約率 | Conversion rate — percentage of lots that sold | Demand. The leading indicator |
| 平均成約単価 | Average hammer price | The headline price level |
Recent figures
| Period | Lots offered | Conversion | Average hammer price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 full year | 3,464,039 (+11.3% — first record in two years) | 66.1% (−2.1pt) | ¥1,226,000 (+3.5%) |
| December 2025 | 256,699 (+4.2%) | 66.0% (+6.0pt) | ¥1,252,000 (+10.5%) |
| February 2025 | 285,371 (+6.9%) | 66.0% (−4.6pt) | ¥1,260,000 (+6.3%) — record high |
2025 also saw 882 auction sessions and 2,289,839 vehicles sold (+7.8%).
Read the full-year row carefully, because it contains a lesson. Supply rose 11.3%, conversion fell 2.1 points, and the price still rose 3.5%. Price and conversion do not move mechanically against each other. Do not build a simple rule out of one relationship.
3. How to actually read it
Conversion rate is the leading indicator
Japanese trade commentary on this data makes a specific point: when lots offered rise ahead of demand, a softening conversion rate is the early sign of prices easing. Price is the lagging number; conversion moves first.
If you are deciding whether to bid now or wait a month, conversion direction is more informative than the price line.
Use a three-month moving average. Single months are noisy for a reason covered next.
The distortion USS warns you about themselves
Month-on-month comparisons are corrupted by how many auction sessions fell in that month and which days of the week they landed on. A month with an extra Saturday is not a stronger market.
USS handles this honestly: they state the session-count effect per venue and publish day-of-week-aligned comparisons alongside the raw figures. Use those, not the headline year-on-year percentage.
For scale on how large the distortion can be: for April in FY2027/3, USS reported lots offered at 106.4% and vehicles sold at 111.8% year on year, with separately-disclosed day-aligned comparisons.
The timing finding: avoid February and March
Japan’s fiscal year ends 31 March. Japanese dealers buy hard in the run-up.
February 2025 set the record average hammer price of ¥1,260,000, and Japanese industry reporting attributed it directly to the approaching fiscal year end. Note what else that month shows: conversion fell 4.6 points while price hit a record — domestic buyers bidding aggressively on the cars they wanted and leaving the rest.
For a foreign buyer, February and March are the worst months to be bidding against Japanese dealers, because they are buying against a deadline and you are not. If your purchase can wait until the new fiscal year, waiting costs you nothing and the market is not competing with a nationwide inventory scramble.
We are drawing this from one strongly-attributed year, not a decade of data — treat it as a well-supported hypothesis and check the current year’s figures yourself, which is exactly what this data lets you do.
Read it in your own currency
The index is in yen. Your cost is in yours. A 3.5% yen-denominated rise means something entirely different at ¥140/$ than at ¥110/$. Convert before concluding the market got more expensive — a rising yen price and a weakening yen can leave your landed cost flat or lower.
4. What this data is not
It is a market index, not a price for your car. The average spans everything from kei cars to luxury imports. A ¥1,226,000 average tells you nothing about what a JB23 Jimny or an S15 Silvia costs. It tells you which direction the whole market is moving and how fast.
For chassis-level prices you need evaluation-point-level data, which lives behind auction membership — and USS membership requires a Japanese antique dealer licence (古物商許可) held for over a year, guarantors, a ¥50,000 joining fee, ¥11,800 monthly, and a ¥100,000 deposit. That door is closed to you, and we would rather say so than imply otherwise.
USS is about 30% of the industry, so it is a large, representative sample — not a census. Their separately-published industry-wide preliminary data partly addresses this.
These are preliminary figures (速報), subject to later revision.
5. Other free Japanese sources worth knowing
- Goo-net 自動車流通 (
goonews.jp) — per-venue results including USS Tokyo specifically, sortable by lots, sales, conversion and average price, with history back to FY2012. Based on venue-announced preliminary figures - USS IR library (
ussnet.co.jp/ir/) — annual securities reports and earnings releases behind the monthly summaries - Japan Automobile Conference / 日本自動車会議所 (
aba-j.or.jp) — industry reporting that contextualises the monthly numbers - Ministry of Finance trade statistics — the export side: average FOB price per unit by destination country. A different question, and we cover the method separately
6. A practical routine
- Bookmark
ussnet.co.jp/ir/library/monthly/and check after the 6th of each month - Record three figures: lots offered, conversion rate, average hammer price
- Use the day-of-week-aligned comparison, not the raw year-on-year
- Track conversion on a three-month moving average — it turns before price does
- Convert the price line into your own currency before drawing conclusions
- Do not plan to buy in February or March unless you have to
- Remember it is an index. For your specific chassis it sets context, not a target
Method and limits
Sources. USS Co., Ltd. investor relations monthly disclosures; Japanese industry reporting of those disclosures (Japan Automobile Conference); Goo-net 自動車流通 venue-level results; Japanese commentary on reading auction supply and conversion data. Collected 2026-07-31.
Limits:
- We did not download USS’s monthly PDFs directly. Figures here come from published reporting of those disclosures. The primary source is free and public — verify current figures there rather than relying on any secondary account including this one.
- Preliminary figures are subject to revision.
- The February/March seasonality conclusion rests on one strongly-attributed year plus the structural fact of Japan’s 31 March fiscal year end. Treated as a hypothesis, not an established multi-year pattern.
- USS is ~30% of the industry, not all of it.
- Averages across all vehicle types — not applicable to any individual chassis.
- We hold no auction membership and no access to evaluation-point-level data. Everything here is from public disclosure.
- Not investment or trading advice. USS is a listed company; nothing here is a view on its securities.
Sources
- USS monthly data (primary): https://www.ussnet.co.jp/ir/library/monthly/index.html · https://www.ussnet.co.jp/ir/
- 2025 full-year figures: https://www.aba-j.or.jp/info/industry/25561/
- February 2025 record average price and fiscal year-end attribution: https://www.aba-j.or.jp/info/industry/23783/
- Venue-level results: https://www.goonews.jp/aa_result_detail.php?client=309802 · https://www.goonews.jp/aa_detail.php?id=309802&menu=results
- Monthly statistics reporting: https://www.world-com.co.jp/news/1494/
- Auction membership requirements: https://www.ussnet.co.jp/application/condition/index.html